COIN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
COIN Report Total net revenue MISS pred ~$1.22B vs. cons $1.26B MEDIUM
COIN Report Transaction revenue MISS pred ~$620M vs. cons $650M MEDIUM
COIN Report Subscription and services revenue IN-LINE pred ~$600M vs. cons $605M MEDIUM
COIN Guide Subscription and services revenue outlook LOWER guide ~$595M vs. cons $625M (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
COIN Guide Transaction revenue quarter-to-date disclosure LOWER guide ~$300M vs. cons $315M (Q3 2026 through July) LOW
COIN Guide Technology, development and G&A expense outlook BETTER guide ~$800M vs. cons $830M (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
COIN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -8.0% MEDIUM
COIN Return 5-day cumulative residual -11.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Expected ~$1.22B revenue versus $1.26B consensus and ~$595M Q3 subscription/services guide versus $625M consensus imply out-period estimate cuts despite an ~$800M expense guide versus $830M consensus. MEDIUM