COIN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
COIN Report Net revenue IN-LINE pred ~$1.215B vs. cons $1.224B LOW
COIN Report Transaction revenue MISS pred ~$615M vs. cons $632M LOW
COIN Report Subscription & services revenue BEAT pred ~$600M vs. cons $592M LOW
COIN Guide Subscription & services revenue (Q3 2026) LOWER guide midpoint ~$610M vs. cons $635M LOW
COIN Guide Adjusted expenses (FY 2026) UNCHANGED reiterate $4.3B-$4.6B vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
COIN Guide Transaction-revenue commentary (early Q3) LOWER softer than Q2 run-rate; cons UNVERIFIED LOW
COIN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -5.0% LOW
COIN Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — lower Q3 guide drives estimate cuts LOW