CPT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CPT Report Q2 Core FFO / share BEAT pred ~$1.69 vs. cons $1.67 MEDIUM
CPT Report Q2 same-store revenue growth (YoY) IN-LINE pred ~+1.0% vs. cons +0.8% MEDIUM
CPT Report Q2 same-store NOI growth (YoY) BEAT pred ~-0.1% vs. cons -0.6% LOW
CPT Guide FY2026 Core FFO guidance (midpoint) BETTER guide ~$6.78 vs. cons $6.75 (FY2026) LOW
CPT Guide FY2026 same-store revenue guidance UNCHANGED guide ~+0.75% vs. cons +0.8% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CPT Guide Q3 2026 Core FFO guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$1.70 vs. cons $1.70 (Q3 2026) LOW
CPT Guide California portfolio disposition close/price UNKNOWN pred close ~$1.0B at ~5.0% cap vs. expected ~$1.0B (2Q/3Q26) MEDIUM
CPT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% MEDIUM
CPT Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.3% (FADE) A modest, largely pre-announced Core FFO beat leaning on timing/bad-debt tailwinds plus at-best a token FY midpoint raise gives a small positive day-1 pop, but out-period math works against follow-through: skepticism on the 2H 'hockey-stick' blended-rate ramp, Sunbelt oversupply still being digested (coastal peers outrunning the Sunbelt), Houston softness, and 1031/California-sale timing variability cause estimates to drift and the initial gain to fade back toward flat over 5 days. MEDIUM