CPT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CPT Report Core FFO per share (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.69 vs. cons $1.66 MEDIUM
CPT Report Total Property Revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$393.5M vs. cons $393.1M MEDIUM
CPT Report Same-Store Blended Lease Rate Growth (Q2 2026 y/y) BEAT pred ~-0.3% vs. cons ~-1.5% LOW
CPT Guide Q3 2026 Core FFO per share guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$1.70 vs. cons $1.70 (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
CPT Guide FY2026 Core FFO per share guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$6.75 vs. cons $6.74 (FY2026) HIGH
CPT Guide FY2026 Same-Store NOI growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~-0.50% vs. cons -0.50% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CPT Guide California portfolio sale / 1031 proceeds redeployment timing UNKNOWN guide ~$650M net proceeds closing by Q3 vs. cons $650M by mid-2026 (FY2026) LOW
CPT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.6% MEDIUM
CPT Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.3% (FADE) A modest Core FFO beat (driven partly by non-recurring items, as in Q1) is unlikely to move FY26 guidance off the reaffirmed $6.75 midpoint since management has repeatedly stressed quarterly outperformance is timing-related and not to be extrapolated; with CPT already up ~20% off March lows and trading near 2025 highs, an unresolved California sale/1031 timeline, persistent Houston sentiment softness, and Sunbelt blended rates still lagging coastal peers (UDR/EQR/AVB just raised guidance on coastal strength) leave little basis for analysts to lift out-period numbers, so any initial pop fades as the stock reverts toward pre-print levels over the week. LOW