CVX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-31

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CVX Report Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$5.85 vs. cons $5.65 MEDIUM
CVX Report Free Cash Flow (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$13.5B vs. cons $14.8B MEDIUM
CVX Report Worldwide Production (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~4,060 Mboe/d vs. cons 4,030 Mboe/d HIGH
CVX Guide FY 2026 Op. EPS (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$15.2 vs. cons $14.93 MEDIUM
CVX Guide FY 2026 Production (FY 2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm +7-10% YoY vs. cons 4,025 Mboe/d HIGH
CVX Guide FY 2026 Capex (FY 2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm $18-19B vs. cons $18.1B HIGH
CVX Guide Microsoft Power Project (qualitative) BETTER confirm FID before year-end; more structural detail MEDIUM
CVX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.8% MEDIUM
CVX Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FADE) FADE — sell-side trims FY FCF estimates post-print; drift lower over 3-5 days before stabilizing once new consensus is set MEDIUM