D Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-31

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
D Report Q2 2026 Operating EPS IN-LINE pred ~$0.78 vs. cons ~$0.77 MEDIUM
D Report CVOW offshore wind % complete (de-risking update) BEAT pred ~80% complete vs. cons ~78% (Q1 was >75%) LOW
D Report Data-center contracted capacity (electric service agreements) BEAT pred ~11 GW vs. cons ~10.4 GW LOW
D Guide FY2026 Operating EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide reaffirmed ~$3.57 mid ($3.45-$3.69) vs. cons ~$3.57 (FY2026) HIGH
D Guide Long-term EPS growth target UNCHANGED guide ~6% (5-7% midpoint) vs. cons ~6% (2025-2029) HIGH
D Guide CVOW total project budget UNCHANGED guide ~$11.4B vs. cons ~$11.4B (project life); ~$200M tariff risk vs. PJM transmission offset MEDIUM
D Guide FFO/debt (credit metric) UNCHANGED guide >15% vs. cons ~15% target (FY2026), no equity ramp needed MEDIUM
D Guide Millstone recontracting (CT DEEP zero-carbon RFP) UNKNOWN guide RFP decision expected ~2H26 vs. cons not in plan ~0 (through Aug-2029 PPA); upside optionality LOW
D Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.0% LOW
D Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.8% (FADE) Seasonally small quarter with guidance only reaffirmed (no raise) into a stock that has already re-rated ~+18% YTD to the low-$70s, so the bar is high and there is little out-period fuel: flat estimates mean no upward revision momentum. Clean CVOW/data-center commentary limits downside, but with valuation stretched and no numbers catalyst, an initial muted-to-negative reaction likely bleeds slightly lower as the tape digests a qualitative-only print. LOW