EG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EG Report Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$15.50 vs. cons $14.74 (VA, Jul 29) MEDIUM
EG Report Combined Ratio (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~92.8% vs. cons 91.98% (VA, Jul 29) MEDIUM
EG Report Net Premium Written (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$3.25B vs. cons $3.367B (VA, Jul 29) MEDIUM
EG Guide FY2026 Operating EPS (implied FY) BETTER guide ~$53-55 implied vs. cons $51.50 (VA, Jul 29) MEDIUM
EG Guide Baltimore Bridge Reserve (Q2 2026) LOWER ~$25-35M incremental PYD vs. cons $0 (not in consensus) MEDIUM
EG Guide Buyback Floor / Capital Return (Q3 2026) BETTER reaffirm $300M/qtr floor; possible augmentation commentary HIGH
EG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
EG Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — beat is real but modest; property cat headwind known; capital return story provides floor; slight fade as sell-side models H2 math MEDIUM