EG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EG Report Operating EPS MISS pred ~$14.25 vs. cons $14.74 LOW
EG Report Gross written premium MISS pred ~$3.75B vs. cons $3.819B LOW
EG Report Underwriting margin MISS pred ~7.60% vs. cons 8.02% LOW
EG Guide Legacy combined ratio (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide >110% vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
EG Guide Buyback floor (2H26) UNCHANGED guide >=$300M per quarter vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
EG Guide Property-cat adequacy (2H26) UNCHANGED guide: adequate returns despite further pressure vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
EG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -6.5% LOW
EG Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.0% (FADE) FADE — weaker out-period earnings signal, partly cushioned by buybacks LOW