EQIX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EQIX Report Q2'26 AFFO/share BEAT pred ~$11.05 vs. cons ~$10.85 MEDIUM
EQIX Report Q2'26 Revenue (incl. Hampton xScale) IN-LINE pred ~$2.60B vs. cons ~$2.59B MEDIUM
EQIX Report Q2'26 Adj. EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$1.375B vs. cons ~$1.370B MEDIUM
EQIX Guide FY26 Revenue guide UNCHANGED guide ~$10.19B vs. cons ~$10.21B (FY2026, midpoint) MEDIUM
EQIX Guide FY26 AFFO/share guide BETTER guide ~$43.0 vs. cons ~$42.75 (FY2026, midpoint) LOW
EQIX Guide FY26 Adj. EBITDA margin guide UNCHANGED guide ~51% vs. cons ~51% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EQIX Guide Q3'26 Revenue guide UNKNOWN guide ~$2.63B vs. cons ~$2.64B (Q3 2026) LOW
EQIX Guide MRR growth (norm. cc) BETTER guide/print ~+10% vs. cons ~+10% (Q2 2026, 3rd straight double-digit) MEDIUM
EQIX Guide Hampton xScale lease signing UNKNOWN pred ~$80M rev/$0.65 AFFO booked vs. cons assumes signed (Q2 2026) LOW
EQIX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
EQIX Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FADE) Expectations are elevated after a ~35% YTD run and a late-July DLR-sympathy pop to ~$1,084 that already faded to ~$1,035 into the print; beta to SPY is low (~0.4) so most of the move is idiosyncratic. A beat/small guide-bump is largely telegraphed and front-loaded from the Q1 raise, so it reads as a 'quality-of-momentum' quarter. Out-period math is unfavorable: the revenue inflection is back-half-2027 loaded, capex sits at the top end (~$4.1B) with a rising net-interest AFFO headwind (~$200M in 2026) and the flagged ~$7 investment drag, plus overhangs from the new CFO's first full call, Jon Lin's departure, and Hampton-timing credibility risk. Even on a headline beat, sell-side AFFO/share revisions get capped by the interest/capex drag, pulling estimates and the stock lower over 5 days. LOW