ES Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ES Report 2Q26 recurring EPS BEAT pred ~$0.96 vs. cons $0.94 MEDIUM
ES Report 2Q26 operating revenue BEAT pred ~$3.05B vs. cons $2.98B MEDIUM
ES Report 2Q26 Parent and Other loss MISS pred ~-$82M vs. cons -$80M LOW
ES Guide 2026 recurring EPS guidance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$4.645 vs. cons $4.65 (FY2026) HIGH
ES Guide Long-term recurring EPS growth midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~6.0% vs. cons 6.0% (2026-2030 CAGR) HIGH
ES Guide Planned common-equity issuance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$0.95B vs. cons $0.95B (2026-2030) MEDIUM
ES Guide Storm-securitization proceeds UNCHANGED guide ~$1.39B vs. cons $1.40B (next 12-18 months) MEDIUM
ES Guide Prospective New England transmission base ROE UNCHANGED guide ~11.39% vs. cons 11.39% (expected by December 2026, subject to refund) MEDIUM
ES Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% MEDIUM
ES Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.6% (STABILIZE) day-5 residual ~0.6% vs. day-1 residual 0.8%; a modest EPS beat and unchanged FY2026 guidance support the shares, but unchanged out-period growth, persistent parent-company drag and unresolved FERC/rate-case risks limit estimate revisions and broader follow-through. MEDIUM