ES Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ES Report 2Q26 non-GAAP recurring EPS BEAT pred ~$0.90 vs. cons $0.88 MEDIUM
ES Report 2Q26 GAAP diluted EPS MISS pred ~$0.59 vs. cons $0.71 HIGH
ES Report 2Q26 revenue MISS pred ~$3.08B vs. cons $3.12B LOW
ES Guide FY2026 non-GAAP recurring EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$4.65 vs. cons $4.71 (FY2026) HIGH
ES Guide Connecticut and New Hampshire storm-cost securitization proceeds UNCHANGED guide ~$2.00B vs. cons ~$2.00B (next 12-18 months) MEDIUM
ES Guide Five-year common-equity financing need UNCHANGED guide ~$0.95B vs. cons ~$0.95B (2026-2030) MEDIUM
ES Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% MEDIUM
ES Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.2% (FADE) A modest ~$0.02 recurring-EPS beat and reaffirmed FY2026 range should support an initially positive reaction, but the $4.65 guidance midpoint remains below ~$4.71 consensus and likely offers no out-period estimate uplift. Aquarion debt reduction is already disclosed, while definitive Connecticut storm-cost and FERC-resolution catalysts are unlikely to be fully delivered in the print; that limits revisions and causes the initial move to fade. MEDIUM