ESS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ESS Report Core FFO/share BEAT pred ~$4.08 vs. cons $4.039 MEDIUM
ESS Report Same-property revenue growth BEAT pred ~3.0% vs. cons 2.585% MEDIUM
ESS Report Same-property NOI growth BEAT pred ~3.0% vs. cons 2.268% MEDIUM
ESS Guide Q3'26 Core FFO/share UNCHANGED guide ~$3.93-$4.05 vs. cons $3.982 LOW
ESS Guide FY26 Core FFO/share LOWER guide $15.69-$16.19 vs. cons $16.111 MEDIUM
ESS Guide FY26 same-property revenue growth BETTER guide ~2.4%-3.2% vs. cons 2.704% LOW
ESS Guide FY26 same-property NOI growth UNCHANGED guide ~1.8%-3.8% vs. cons 2.819% LOW
ESS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
ESS Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — maintained FY Core FFO implies an out-period cut LOW