ETR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ETR Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$0.99 vs. cons $0.97 MEDIUM
ETR Report Industrial/retail sales volume growth (YoY) BEAT pred ~+14% vs. cons ~+11% MEDIUM
ETR Report Operating revenue IN-LINE pred ~$3.25B vs. cons $3.20B LOW
ETR Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide reaffirmed $4.25–$4.45 (mid ~$4.35) vs. cons $4.35 (FY2026) HIGH
ETR Guide Long-term adjusted EPS CAGR UNCHANGED guide >8% (~$4.35 base) vs. cons ~8% (2026–2035) MEDIUM
ETR Guide New data-center/large-load ESA signings & pipeline conversion UNKNOWN guide 7–12 GW DC pipeline + 3–5 GW other vs. cons ~0 GW newly contracted (2026+) MEDIUM
ETR Guide Equity financing need through plan UNCHANGED guide ~$7B equity, ~60% sourced, none needed until 2028 vs. cons ~$7B (2026–2030) MEDIUM
ETR Guide Q2/2H O&M timing headwind UNCHANGED guide ~+$0.15 Q2 O&M vs. cons ~+$0.15 already embedded (Q2 2026) MEDIUM
ETR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.0% MEDIUM
ETR Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.3% (STABILIZE) A 'reaffirm-not-raise' quarter with a pre-telegraphed ~$0.15 O&M drag keeps FY estimates flat (no upward revisions), and back-half-weighted growth means the out-period math doesn't improve. At a rich ~26x premium multiple with the stock already down ~3% into the print, absent a fresh signed ESA the modest day-1 dip holds rather than recovering or extending — hence stabilize near the initial reaction. LOW