EXR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EXR Report Core FFO per share (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.09 vs. cons $2.06 MEDIUM
EXR Report Same-store revenue growth (Q2 2026, YoY) BEAT pred ~2.2% vs. cons 1.9% MEDIUM
EXR Report Same-store NOI growth (Q2 2026, YoY) BEAT pred ~2.2% vs. cons 1.8% MEDIUM
EXR Guide FY2026 Core FFO guidance (raise/narrow) BETTER guide ~$8.28 midpoint vs. cons $8.25 (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Guide FY2026 same-store revenue growth guidance BETTER guide ~1.1% midpoint vs. cons 1.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Guide FY2026 same-store NOI growth guidance BETTER guide ~1.0% midpoint vs. cons 0.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Guide FY2026 acquisitions volume guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$200M vs. cons $200M (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
EXR Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) Stock already re-rated ~15% off March lows on Nareit checks/BofA upgrade and now trades near NAV (17.8x vs ~19.5x historical FFO multiple), so a modest FFO beat plus an expected-but-already-priced-in guidance raise likely triggers an initial pop that partially fades as some investors take profits into strength; unless the raise is materially larger than the flagged low-single-digit narrowing, out-year FFO/NOI revisions are unlikely to expand enough over the week to sustain the full day-1 move, especially in a market with rising REIT-sector volatility around 10-yr yields. MEDIUM