EXR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EXR Report Core FFO per share IN-LINE pred ~$2.08 vs. cons $2.06 MEDIUM
EXR Report Same-store revenue growth BEAT pred ~1.9% vs. cons 1.7% MEDIUM
EXR Report Same-store NOI growth BEAT pred ~3.0% vs. cons 2.5% MEDIUM
EXR Guide Core FFO per share BETTER guide ~$8.28 midpoint ($8.15-$8.40) vs. cons $8.26 (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Guide Same-store revenue growth LOWER guide ~1.25% midpoint (0.5%-2.0%) vs. cons 1.30% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Guide Same-store NOI growth BETTER guide ~0.75% midpoint (-0.25%-1.75%) vs. cons 0.60% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.2% MEDIUM
EXR Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) The operating beat should drive an initial positive reaction, but FY2026 same-store revenue guidance of ~1.25% versus consensus 1.30% implies second-half growth of only ~0.7% versus the Street near 0.8%, limiting estimate revisions and causing part of the day-1 move to fade. MEDIUM