EXR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EXR Report Core FFO per share BEAT pred ~$2.10 vs. cons $2.06 MEDIUM
EXR Report Same-store revenue growth BEAT pred ~2.6% vs. cons 1.4% MEDIUM
EXR Report Same-store NOI growth BEAT pred ~1.7% vs. cons 0.5% MEDIUM
EXR Guide FY2026 Core FFO per share guidance BETTER guide ~$8.15-$8.40 (midpoint $8.28) vs. cons $8.24 (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Guide FY2026 same-store revenue growth guidance BETTER guide ~0.5%-2.0% (midpoint 1.3%) vs. cons 1.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Guide FY2026 same-store NOI growth guidance BETTER guide ~-0.75%-1.75% (midpoint 0.5%) vs. cons 0.2% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXR Guide July new-customer rate and occupancy commentary BETTER guide ~1.5% move-in-rate growth and ~94.5% occupancy vs. cons 0.5% and 94.1% (July 2026) MEDIUM
EXR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
EXR Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.1% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$0.04 quarterly Core FFO beat versus $2.06 consensus plus a FY2026 midpoint lift to ~$8.28 versus $8.24 consensus creates positive out-period math; better same-store revenue/NOI and constructive July pricing should support upward revisions rather than leave the move dependent only on the quarterly beat. MEDIUM