F Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
F Report Adjusted EBIT BEAT pred ~$1.55B vs. cons $1.50B MEDIUM
F Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.34 vs. cons $0.32 MEDIUM
F Report Ford Pro EBIT BEAT pred ~$1.55B vs. cons $1.48B MEDIUM
F Guide Company adjusted EBIT UNCHANGED guide ~$9.50B midpoint vs. cons $9.60B (FY2026) MEDIUM
F Guide Adjusted free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$5.50B midpoint vs. cons $5.50B (FY2026) MEDIUM
F Guide Ford Pro EBIT UNCHANGED guide ~$7.00B midpoint vs. cons $7.05B (FY2026) MEDIUM
F Guide Model e EBIT loss UNCHANGED guide ~$(4.25)B midpoint vs. cons ~$(4.20)B (FY2026) MEDIUM
F Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
F Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$0.05B EBIT beat versus consensus is unlikely to offset an unchanged ~$9.50B FY2026 EBIT midpoint versus ~$9.60B consensus; unchanged second-half/Novelis assumptions leave out-period estimates vulnerable to roughly $0.10B-$0.20B of downward revisions. MEDIUM