F Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
F Report Ford Pro EBIT (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.95B vs. cons $1.907B (Visible Alpha, Jul 28, 2026) MEDIUM
F Report Model e EBIT loss (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~($1.15B) vs. cons ($1.126B) (Visible Alpha, Jul 28, 2026) MEDIUM
F Report Adj. EBIT (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.15B vs. cons $2.114B (Visible Alpha, Jul 28, 2026) MEDIUM
F Guide FY2026 Adj. EBIT (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide $8.5B-$10.5B maintained vs. cons $9.543B (Visible Alpha, Jul 28, 2026) MEDIUM
F Guide FY2026 Ford Pro EBIT (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide $6.5B-$7.5B maintained vs. cons $7.081B (Visible Alpha, Jul 28, 2026) MEDIUM
F Guide FY2026 Model e loss (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ($4.0B)-($4.5B) maintained vs. cons ($4.356B) (Visible Alpha, Jul 28, 2026) MEDIUM
F Guide H2 cadence commentary BETTER slight upgrade on Q4 vs. prior 'fairly consistent Q2/Q3/Q4' framing (Q1 2026 earnings call) LOW
F Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
F Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side models implicit H2 cut on maintained guide; Ford Energy narrative provides partial floor but does not flip the sign MEDIUM