FANG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
FANG Report 2Q26 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$6.20 vs. cons $6.00 MEDIUM
FANG Report 2Q26 oil production IN-LINE pred ~523 MBO/d vs. cons 520 MBO/d HIGH
FANG Report 2Q26 adjusted free cash flow BEAT pred ~$2.35B vs. cons $2.20B MEDIUM
FANG Guide FY26 oil-production guidance BETTER guide ~525+ MBO/d vs. cons 523 MBO/d (FY26) MEDIUM
FANG Guide FY26 total cash-capex guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$3.90B vs. cons $3.90B (FY26) HIGH
FANG Guide 3Q26 oil-production outlook BETTER guide ~525 MBO/d vs. cons 520 MBO/d (3Q26) MEDIUM
FANG Guide Net-debt reduction / year-end balance-sheet commentary BETTER guide ~$11.8B net debt vs. cons $12.3B (YE26) LOW
FANG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
FANG Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) The ~$6.20 EPS and ~$2.35B FCF beat is substantially supported by the already disclosed $96.82/Bbl 2Q realization; modestly higher FY26 oil guidance (~525+ vs. 523 MBO/d consensus) and faster debt reduction support an initial positive reaction, but largely unchanged ~$3.90B capex and limited incremental out-period volume upside constrain FY27 estimate revisions and lead to a partial fade. MEDIUM