FANG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
FANG Report Oil Production (Mbpd) IN-LINE pred ~527,000 vs. cons 523,457 MEDIUM
FANG Report Adj. EPS (Diluted, Operating) BEAT pred ~$6.25 vs. cons $5.96 MEDIUM
FANG Report FCF ($B) BEAT pred ~$2.30B vs. cons $2.15B MEDIUM
FANG Guide FY 2026 Oil Production (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~527-530 Mbpd vs. cons 524,784 MEDIUM
FANG Guide FY 2026 Capex (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$3.9-4.0B vs. cons $3.94B HIGH
FANG Guide Net Debt / Capital Return (FY 2026) BETTER confirm $10B target hit; announce gross debt reduction; no buyback acceleration HIGH
FANG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% MEDIUM
FANG Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — negative follow-through driven by H2 estimate digestion and no buyback catalyst; smaller than Q1 2026's -10.9% given capital return framework already known MEDIUM