{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Oil Production (Mbpd)",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~527,000 vs. cons 523,457",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Adj. EPS (Diluted, Operating)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$6.25 vs. cons $5.96",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FCF ($B)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$2.30B vs. cons $2.15B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY 2026 Oil Production (FY 2026)",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~527-530 Mbpd vs. cons 524,784",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY 2026 Capex (FY 2026)",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$3.9-4.0B vs. cons $3.94B",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Net Debt / Capital Return (FY 2026)",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "confirm $10B target hit; announce gross debt reduction; no buyback acceleration",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": -2.0,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": -3.5,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "FOLLOW-THROUGH \u2014 negative follow-through driven by H2 estimate digestion and no buyback catalyst; smaller than Q1 2026's -10.9% given capital return framework already known",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}