{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Q2 Core EPS",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~$0.53 vs. cons $0.54",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Q2 Revenue",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~$3.65B vs. cons $3.60B",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Data-center contracted demand (GW signed this Q)",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~2-3 GW signed vs. cons/mgmt guide ~4 GW",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 Core EPS guidance",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide reaffirm $2.62-$2.82 (mid $2.72) vs. cons $2.74 (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Long-term Core EPS CAGR",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide 6-8% near top end (~7.5%) vs. cons ~7% (2026-2030)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "WV gas-plant CPCN / plan-update timeline",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ruling now ~Mar 2027 / plan update ~1H2027 vs. prior early-Q4 2026 expectation (2H2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Energize365 capex plan",
      "prediction": "UNKNOWN",
      "answer": "guide $36B held (upside to ~$38B if WV added) vs. cons $36B (2026-2030)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Rate-base CAGR",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~10% (path to ~11% pending WV) vs. cons ~10% (2026-2030)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": -0.8,
  "day1_confidence": "LOW",
  "day5_residual_pct": -1.8,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "Low-drama quarter with guidance reaffirmed but no fresh upgrade: the WV CPCN ruling and plan-update catalyst have slipped to ~March/1H2027, so there is no vehicle for positive out-year revisions. Stock has re-rated ~+9% YTD back near highs into the print, so 'reassurance on timing' is already priced; H2-weighted earnings and any soft Q2/weather leave estimates flat-to-down. Expect the modest initial reaction to fade as the delayed catalyst and lack of revisions reassert.",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}