FSLR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
FSLR Report Net sales BEAT pred ~$1.06B vs. cons $1.03B MEDIUM
FSLR Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$465M vs. cons $450M MEDIUM
FSLR Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.78 vs. cons $2.67 MEDIUM
FSLR Guide FY2026 net-sales guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$5.05B vs. cons $5.06B (FY2026) MEDIUM
FSLR Guide FY2026 adjusted-EBITDA guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.70B vs. cons $2.71B (FY2026) MEDIUM
FSLR Guide FY2026 Section 45X-credit assumption UNCHANGED guide ~$2.15B vs. cons $2.15B (FY2026) MEDIUM
FSLR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.5% MEDIUM
FSLR Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FADE) A ~$465M EBITDA result versus ~$450M consensus and a ~$2.70B FY2026 EBITDA midpoint versus ~$2.71B consensus should initially reward a clean execution print, but unchanged guidance leaves limited out-period estimate upside and preserves Section 232, project-timing, and 2027 normalization uncertainty. MEDIUM