GD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GD Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$4.02 vs. cons $3.96 MEDIUM
GD Report Aerospace operating margin BEAT pred ~15.0% (~$490M op. earnings) vs. cons ~14.1% ($460M) MEDIUM
GD Report Gulfstream aircraft deliveries MISS pred ~39 units vs. cons 42 LOW
GD Guide FY26 EPS guidance BETTER guide ~$16.55-16.70 vs. cons $16.55 (FY2026) MEDIUM
GD Guide FY26 revenue outlook BETTER guide raise ~+1% to ~$53.5B vs. cons ~$52.9B (FY2026) MEDIUM
GD Guide Marine Systems revenue BETTER pred ~$4.55B (~+8% y/y) vs. cons $4.36B (+3.2%) (Q2) MEDIUM
GD Guide Book-to-bill / backlog trajectory UNKNOWN pred B-t-b ~1.0x vs. cons ~1.1x, off tough 2.2x Q2'25 comp (Q2) LOW
GD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% MEDIUM
GD Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.5% (FADE) Modest EPS beat on durable ~15% Aerospace margins plus a small guide raise, but the stock ran ~+7% in the week into the print (367->393) to fresh highs and +17% YTD, so much of the good news is priced. Deliveries likely light vs. the Street's 42, and management's own framing (Q2/Q3 soft, Q4 back-half-loaded) means full-year estimates barely move even after a beat; low-beta GD's initial pop fades as the out-period math limits upward revisions and profit-taking sets in. LOW