{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$4.02 vs. cons $3.96",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Aerospace operating margin",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~15.0% (~$490M op. earnings) vs. cons ~14.1% ($460M)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Gulfstream aircraft deliveries",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~39 units vs. cons 42",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 EPS guidance",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$16.55-16.70 vs. cons $16.55 (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 revenue outlook",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide raise ~+1% to ~$53.5B vs. cons ~$52.9B (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Marine Systems revenue",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "pred ~$4.55B (~+8% y/y) vs. cons $4.36B (+3.2%) (Q2)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Book-to-bill / backlog trajectory",
      "prediction": "UNKNOWN",
      "answer": "pred B-t-b ~1.0x vs. cons ~1.1x, off tough 2.2x Q2'25 comp (Q2)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 0.75,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": -0.5,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "Modest EPS beat on durable ~15% Aerospace margins plus a small guide raise, but the stock ran ~+7% in the week into the print (367->393) to fresh highs and +17% YTD, so much of the good news is priced. Deliveries likely light vs. the Street's 42, and management's own framing (Q2/Q3 soft, Q4 back-half-loaded) means full-year estimates barely move even after a beat; low-beta GD's initial pop fades as the out-period math limits upward revisions and profit-taking sets in.",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}