GD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GD Report Adjusted diluted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$4.03 vs. cons ~$3.96 MEDIUM
GD Report Total revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$13.65B vs. cons ~$13.5B MEDIUM
GD Report Aerospace segment operating margin MISS pred ~14.6% vs. cons ~15.0% LOW
GD Guide FY2026 EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$16.45-$16.55 vs. cons ~$16.50 (FY2026) MEDIUM
GD Guide FY2026 Free cash flow cadence/conversion UNCHANGED guide ~positive FCF each remaining quarter, ~$3.3-3.5B FY vs. cons ~$3.4B (FY2026) LOW
GD Guide Aerospace order/backlog commentary (Middle East demand) UNKNOWN guide ~qualitative stabilization vs. cons expecting continued softness (Q2 2026 / FY2026 outlook) LOW
GD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
GD Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.3% (FADE) Stock has run +16% in two months into the print (24x trailing EPS, near all-time highs) on the back of a Q1 beat and mid-year guide raise, so a merely solid Q2 (flagged by management itself as a flattish, mix-heavy 'digestion' quarter) is unlikely to justify further multiple expansion; without a second consecutive guidance raise, sell-side will likely leave FY26 numbers roughly intact while trimming near-term Aerospace order assumptions given Middle East disruption, producing a 'beat-but-sell-the-news' day-1 dip that extends modestly over the week as investors rotate out of the crowded, highly-valued defense trade rather than add on an in-line-to-modest-beat result. MEDIUM