GNRC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GNRC Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.08 vs. cons $1.99 HIGH
GNRC Report Total net sales BEAT pred ~$1.20B vs. cons $1.178B MEDIUM
GNRC Report C&I segment sales BEAT pred ~$515M vs. cons $500M MEDIUM
GNRC Guide FY26 total sales growth BETTER guide raised to ~high-teens/~18% vs. cons ~16% (FY2026) MEDIUM
GNRC Guide FY26 adj. EBITDA margin BETTER guide ~19.0-19.5% vs. cons ~19.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
GNRC Guide Data-center backlog BETTER guide ~$850M-1.0B vs. prior >$700M (as of Q2'26) MEDIUM
GNRC Guide Binding hyperscale/MSA (from $600M NTP) UNKNOWN pred progress/vendor approval vs. cons ~$600M nonbinding NTP (2027 deliveries) LOW
GNRC Guide Q3'26 sales growth guide BETTER guide ~mid-to-high teens vs. cons ~14% (Q3'26) LOW
GNRC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.0% MEDIUM
GNRC Return 5-day cumulative residual +7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Stock round-tripped the entire 2026 data-center rally (-34% from $295 to $196) into a washed-out, de-risked print. A modest beat plus a likely third FY-guidance raise (sales to high-teens, margin to ~19%+) and a higher DC backlog print drive positive estimate revisions and short-covering; out-period math is upward (H2 ramp intact, hyperscale conversion optionality). Follow-through assumes management re-establishes multi-year hyperscale confidence; primary fade risk is a broad AI-capex sentiment relapse overriding good numbers. LOW