GRMN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GRMN Report Q2 2026 Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.97B vs. cons $1.93B MEDIUM
GRMN Report Q2 2026 Pro Forma EPS BEAT pred ~$2.40 vs. cons $2.28 MEDIUM
GRMN Report Q2 2026 Operating Margin BEAT pred ~26.0% vs. cons 25.3% MEDIUM
GRMN Guide FY2026 Revenue Guidance BETTER guide ~$8.05B vs. cons $7.95B (FY2026) MEDIUM
GRMN Guide FY2026 Pro Forma EPS Guidance BETTER guide ~$9.60 vs. cons $9.45 (FY2026) MEDIUM
GRMN Guide Auto OEM FY2026 Segment Revenue Guidance LOWER guide ~-8% vs. cons -6% (FY2026) MEDIUM
GRMN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% LOW
GRMN Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.3% (FADE) Stock has already run +7.5% into the print (plus M&A pop) and sits near ATH, so even a beat-and-modest-raise is largely priced in — echoing the Q1'26 print where a double-digit EPS beat still produced a -3.7% day-1 move because guidance wasn't raised enough relative to a stretched multiple. Tougher H2 comps, a still-declining Auto OEM segment, and management's own flag that tariff/component cost pressure 'will start to appear more in 2027' cap how much full-year estimates can move up even after a Q2 beat, so any initial pop is likely to fade over the following days as analysts model conservative H2 assumptions rather than extrapolate the beat forward (a repeat of the Feb'26 blowout-then-continued-rally scenario would require an unambiguous raise plus reacceleration in Outdoor, which is a lower-probability outcome here). LOW