| HII |
Report |
Q2 2026 Diluted EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$3.90 vs. cons ~$3.82 |
MEDIUM |
| HII |
Report |
Q2 2026 Total Revenue |
BEAT |
pred ~$3.23B vs. cons ~$3.17B |
MEDIUM |
| HII |
Report |
Q2 2026 Free Cash Flow |
MISS |
pred ~-$150M vs. cons ~$0M (guide midpoint of -$100M/+$100M) |
LOW |
| HII |
Guide |
FY2026 Total Revenue Guide (Shipbuilding $9.7-9.9B + Mission Tech $3.0-3.2B) |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$12.9B vs. cons ~$12.87B (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| HII |
Guide |
FY2026 Free Cash Flow Guide |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$550M vs. cons ~$550M (FY2026), though back-half cash ramp risk flagged |
MEDIUM |
| HII |
Guide |
Q3 2026 Shipbuilding Revenue Guide |
BETTER |
guide ~$2.5B vs. cons ~$2.45B (Q3 2026) |
LOW |
| HII |
Guide |
Virginia-class Block VI Multiyear Submarine Contract Definitization/Savings |
BETTER |
guide ~$2.4B in aggregate program savings on 9 boats vs. cons ~$0 (no prior visibility) (multiyear contract, 2026 signing expected) |
MEDIUM |
| HII |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
-2.5% |
— |
LOW |
| HII |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
-1.5% (STABILIZE) |
Q1's pattern showed a sharp ~-10.8% day-1 drop on margin/FCF disappointment despite an EPS beat, with the 5-day residual barely changing (~-10.0%), i.e., the shock was absorbed quickly rather than compounding. This quarter, expectations are already reset far lower (stock down ~35-40% from highs, targets cut), FY26 guidance is expected to be reaffirmed (not cut), and the just-certified Virginia-class multiyear submarine deal is a genuine incremental positive not present in Q1. With no clear out-period EPS/FCF cut catalyst and backlog at a record $54B, we expect the initial move (whichever direction) to largely hold rather than fade sharply or extend into a large follow-through move — consistent with a stabilization pattern over the week. |
LOW |