HLT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HLT Report Q2 2026 currency-neutral systemwide RevPAR growth BEAT pred ~2.7% vs. cons 2.5% MEDIUM
HLT Report Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$1.040B vs. cons $1.030B MEDIUM
HLT Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.28 vs. cons $2.25 MEDIUM
HLT Guide Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDA LOWER guide ~$1.08B midpoint vs. cons $1.10B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
HLT Guide Currency-neutral systemwide RevPAR growth UNCHANGED guide ~2.5% midpoint vs. cons 2.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
HLT Guide Adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide ~$4.05B midpoint vs. cons $4.05B (FY2026) MEDIUM
HLT Guide Adjusted EPS BETTER guide ~$8.98 midpoint vs. cons $8.92 (FY2026) MEDIUM
HLT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.8% MEDIUM
HLT Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.8% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$1.040B Q2 result versus $1.030B consensus is offset by Q3 guidance near $1.08B versus $1.10B consensus. FY2026 EBITDA near $4.05B versus $4.05B consensus implies only ~$2.109B of second-half EBITDA versus the pre-report consensus math of roughly $2.119B, prompting modest out-period estimate cuts despite the EPS beat. MEDIUM