HLT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HLT Report System-wide comparable RevPAR growth MISS pred ~2.2% vs. cons 2.5%. MEDIUM
HLT Report Adjusted EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$1.028B vs. cons $1.030B. MEDIUM
HLT Report Adjusted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$2.23 vs. cons $2.25. MEDIUM
HLT Guide System-wide comparable RevPAR growth UNCHANGED guide ~2.5% midpoint vs. cons 2.5% (FY2026). MEDIUM
HLT Guide Adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide ~$4.040B midpoint vs. cons $4.050B (FY2026). MEDIUM
HLT Guide Adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$8.85 midpoint vs. cons $8.90 (FY2026). LOW
HLT Guide Net unit growth UNCHANGED guide ~6.5% midpoint vs. cons 6.5% (FY2026). HIGH
HLT Guide Capital return UNCHANGED guide ~$3.50B vs. cons $3.50B (FY2026). MEDIUM
HLT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
HLT Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.0% (FADE) The initial -2.5% residual selloff should fade toward -1.0% over five days: a ~2.2% RevPAR print versus 2.5% consensus is disappointing, but retained ~2.5% FY2026 RevPAR and ~$4.040B EBITDA frameworks limit out-period estimate cuts. MEDIUM