HLT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HLT Report System-wide RevPAR Growth (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~+3.0% vs. cons +3.38% MEDIUM
HLT Report Adj. EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,050M vs. cons $1,039M MEDIUM
HLT Report Diluted EPS - Operating (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$2.30 vs. cons $2.28 MEDIUM
HLT Guide FY 2026 RevPAR Growth (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~2-3% vs. cons +2.79% HIGH
HLT Guide FY 2026 Adj. EBITDA (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$4,020-4,060M vs. cons $4,054M HIGH
HLT Guide FY 2026 Diluted EPS - Operating (FY 2026) LOWER guide ~$8.79-8.91 vs. cons $8.98 HIGH
HLT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
HLT Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side cuts FY EPS estimates as guide range ($8.79-8.91) remains below consensus ($8.98); implicit H2 EBITDA cut of ~$25M drives continued underperformance MEDIUM