HLT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HLT Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.30 vs. cons $2.276 MEDIUM
HLT Report System-wide RevPAR growth MISS pred ~3.20% vs. cons 3.38% MEDIUM
HLT Report Adjusted EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$1.045B vs. cons $1.039B MEDIUM
HLT Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$8.79-$8.91 vs. cons $8.985 MEDIUM
HLT Guide FY2026 System-wide RevPAR growth LOWER guide ~2.0%-3.0% vs. cons 2.79% MEDIUM
HLT Guide FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide ~$4.020B-$4.060B vs. cons $4.054B MEDIUM
HLT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
HLT Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — RevPAR miss and below-consensus FY guide pressure forward estimates LOW