HOOD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HOOD Report Q2 2026 total net revenue BEAT pred ~$1.33B vs. cons $1.29B MEDIUM
HOOD Report Q2 2026 diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.49 vs. cons $0.43 MEDIUM
HOOD Report Q2 2026 net deposits BEAT pred ~$18.5B vs. cons $17.0B MEDIUM
HOOD Guide Adjusted operating expenses plus SBC UNCHANGED guide ~$2.76B vs. cons $2.76B (FY2026 midpoint) MEDIUM
HOOD Guide Net deposit annualized growth commentary BETTER guide ~21% vs. cons 20% (Q3 2026 run-rate) LOW
HOOD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +6.5% MEDIUM
HOOD Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.0% (FADE) The revenue, EPS and deposit beats should drive initial upside, but unchanged FY2026 expense guidance and limited visibility into sustainable prediction-market monetization likely constrain out-period estimate revisions, causing part of the day-1 gain to fade. MEDIUM