HOOD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HOOD Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$1.34B vs. cons $1.29B MEDIUM
HOOD Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.48 vs. cons $0.43 MEDIUM
HOOD Report Net deposits BEAT pred ~$20.0B vs. cons $18.0B MEDIUM
HOOD Guide Adjusted operating expenses plus SBC UNCHANGED guide ~$2.70B-$2.825B vs. cons $2.70B-$2.825B (FY2026) HIGH
HOOD Guide 3Q26 revenue trajectory / July activity commentary BETTER guide ~$1.38B implied vs. cons $1.34B (3Q26) LOW
HOOD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +8.0% MEDIUM
HOOD Return 5-day cumulative residual +11.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) pred ~$1.34B vs. cons $1.29B supports upward revenue revisions, while a ~$2.70B-$2.825B FY2026 expense guide vs. cons $2.70B-$2.825B preserves out-period margin math; prediction-market and deposit strength should shift estimates higher rather than leave the beat as a one-quarter trading-volume event. MEDIUM