HOOD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HOOD Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.310B vs. cons $1.285B MEDIUM
HOOD Report Net deposits BEAT pred ~$19.20B vs. cons $18.67B MEDIUM
HOOD Report Prediction-markets revenue BEAT pred ~$165M vs. cons $159.7M MEDIUM
HOOD Guide Adjusted OpEx + SBC (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$2.7B-$2.825B vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
HOOD Guide Net-deposit / trading commentary (2H26) UNCHANGED guide ~reaffirm strong trading and 20%+ net-deposit ambition vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
HOOD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% MEDIUM
HOOD Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — B-archetype estimate digestion MEDIUM