HSY Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HSY Report Q2 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.48 vs. cons $1.43 MEDIUM
HSY Report Q2 net sales IN-LINE pred ~$2.64B vs. cons $2.634B MEDIUM
HSY Report Q2 adjusted gross margin IN-LINE pred ~41.4% vs. cons 41.0% MEDIUM
HSY Guide Adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$8.45 vs. cons $8.48 (FY2026) MEDIUM
HSY Guide Reported net sales growth UNCHANGED guide ~4.75% vs. cons 4.73% (FY2026) MEDIUM
HSY Guide Adjusted EPS growth commentary LOWER guide ~15.0% vs. cons 16.7% (FY2027) LOW
HSY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.2% MEDIUM
HSY Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest Q2 EPS beat is outweighed by an FY2026 guide midpoint below consensus and FY2027 commentary that does not validate the full Street recovery. Using predicted H1 adjusted EPS of ~$3.83, the ~$8.45 FY2026 guide implies ~$4.62 for H2 versus consensus near $4.67, prompting modest out-period estimate cuts after the initial reaction. MEDIUM