HSY Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HSY Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.53 vs. cons $1.47 MEDIUM
HSY Report Net sales MISS pred ~$2.09B vs. cons $2.12B MEDIUM
HSY Report Adjusted gross margin BEAT pred ~43.8% vs. cons 43.1% MEDIUM
HSY Guide FY26 organic constant-currency net sales growth UNCHANGED guide ~3.0% midpoint vs. cons 3.1% (FY2026) HIGH
HSY Guide FY26 adjusted EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$8.36 midpoint vs. cons $8.37 (FY2026) HIGH
HSY Guide Second-half adjusted gross-margin expansion UNCHANGED guide ~525 bps vs. cons 520 bps (2H2026) MEDIUM
HSY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.1% MEDIUM
HSY Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.4% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$1.53 vs. $1.47 quarterly EPS beat is likely viewed as mix/cost-timing driven against a ~$2.09B vs. $2.12B sales miss. Retaining ~$8.36 versus $8.37 FY26 EPS and ~3.0% versus 3.1% organic-sales expectations leaves a larger second-half sales and activation burden; out-period revenue/EPS estimates should drift lower despite gross-margin delivery. MEDIUM