HUM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HUM Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.55 vs. cons $7.22 MEDIUM
HUM Report Insurance benefit ratio IN-LINE pred ~90.9% vs. cons 91.2% MEDIUM
HUM Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$40.85B vs. cons $40.61B HIGH
HUM Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS BETTER guide ~$9.50 vs. cons $8.94 (FY2026) MEDIUM
HUM Guide FY2026 Insurance benefit ratio BETTER guide ~92.50% vs. cons 92.75% (FY2026) MEDIUM
HUM Guide FY2026 revenue LOWER guide ~$161.0B vs. cons $162.19B (FY2026) MEDIUM
HUM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.8% MEDIUM
HUM Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FADE) Day-1 residual of +3.8% fades to a five-day residual of +2.0%: favorable Q2 medical costs and a modest FY2026 raise support the initial move, but 2027 benefit reductions and likely membership attrition constrain out-period EPS revisions after the beat. MEDIUM