ICE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ICE Report Adjusted diluted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.00 vs. cons $1.92 MEDIUM
ICE Report Consolidated net revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.74B vs. cons $2.70B MEDIUM
ICE Report FIDS recurring revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$525M vs. cons $522M MEDIUM
ICE Guide Adjusted operating expenses UNCHANGED guide ~$4.17B vs. cons $4.17B (FY2026) MEDIUM
ICE Guide Exchanges recurring-revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~7.5% vs. cons 7.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ICE Guide Mortgage Technology revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~5.0% vs. cons 5.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ICE Guide Adjusted operating expenses UNCHANGED guide ~$1.045B vs. cons $1.045B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
ICE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.9% MEDIUM
ICE Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.6% (FADE) A modest headline beat should support the initial reaction, but unchanged recurring-revenue and expense guidance leaves limited upward revision potential. Out-period estimates are likely to reflect normalized energy transaction revenue and tougher second-half comparisons, causing the day-1 gain to fade. MEDIUM