ICE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ICE Report Net Revenues (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2,700M vs. cons $2,621M MEDIUM
ICE Report Energy Futures Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$550M vs. cons $516M MEDIUM
ICE Report FIDS Recurring Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$527M vs. cons $521M MEDIUM
ICE Guide Adj. Opex (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide $4.145B-$4.195B vs. cons $4.145B midpoint HIGH
ICE Guide Mortgage Tech Recurring Rev. (Q3 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~stable/$400M vs. cons $402M MEDIUM
ICE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
ICE Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — day-1 gain holds; market waits for mortgage inflection signal before re-rating; H2 estimate upgrades provide a floor MEDIUM