ICE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ICE Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.88 vs. cons $1.833 MEDIUM
ICE Report Net revenue less transaction-based expenses BEAT pred ~$2.65B vs. cons $2.621B MEDIUM
ICE Report Total F&O ADV BEAT pred ~10.25M vs. cons 10.00M MEDIUM
ICE Guide Q3 adjusted operating expense UNCHANGED guide ~$1.030–$1.040B vs. cons $1.032B MEDIUM
ICE Guide FY26 adjusted operating expense BETTER guide $4.075–$4.140B vs. cons $4.160B MEDIUM
ICE Guide FY26 FIDS recurring growth UNCHANGED guide mid-single-digit, high-end trend vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
ICE Guide FY26 mortgage technology growth UNCHANGED guide low-to-mid-single-digit vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
ICE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
ICE Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — high setup and no assumed FY revenue raise LOW