IP Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
IP Report Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA — enterprise IN-LINE pred ~$536M vs. cons $535M MEDIUM
IP Report Q2 2026 Packaging Solutions North America adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$390M vs. cons $386M MEDIUM
IP Report Q2 2026 Packaging Solutions EMEA adjusted EBITDA MISS pred ~$156M vs. cons $159M MEDIUM
IP Guide Adjusted EBITDA — enterprise LOWER guide ~$3.33B vs. cons $3.41B (FY2026) MEDIUM
IP Guide Free cash flow LOWER guide ~$0.40B vs. cons $0.56B (FY2026) MEDIUM
IP Guide Adjusted EBITDA ambition — enterprise BETTER guide ~$5.00B vs. cons $4.26B (FY2027) LOW
IP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.2% MEDIUM
IP Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FY2026 guide midpoint ~$3.33B vs. cons $3.41B implies negative second-half estimate revisions despite broadly in-line Q2 results; the reiterated FY2027 ambition of ~$5.00B vs. cons $4.26B is too distant and execution-dependent to prevent follow-through after the pre-earnings rally. MEDIUM