IR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
IR Report Adj. Diluted EPS (Q2) BEAT pred ~$0.85 vs. cons $0.83 MEDIUM
IR Report Total Revenue (Q2) IN-LINE pred ~$1.96B vs. cons $1.956B MEDIUM
IR Report Adj. EBITDA (Q2) IN-LINE pred ~$525M vs. cons ~$520M LOW
IR Guide FY2026 Adj. EPS guide BETTER guide ~$3.50-3.60 (mid ~$3.55) vs. cons $3.51 (FY2026) LOW
IR Guide FY2026 Adj. EBITDA guide UNCHANGED guide ~$2.13-2.19B (mid $2.16B) vs. cons ~$2.16B (FY2026) LOW
IR Guide FY2026 organic revenue growth guide UNCHANGED guide ~+1% vs. cons ~+1% (FY2026) MEDIUM
IR Guide ITS Q2 EBITDA margin (inflection check) LOWER pred ~26.3% vs. cons ~26.5% (Q2, vs 26.7% Q1 / 27.0% Q2'25) MEDIUM
IR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% LOW
IR Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.5% (FADE) Stock has rallied ~10% into the print (from ~$77 to ~$86, +7% on 7/16 alone), lifting the bar. Likely outcome is a modest EPS beat with only a token FX/M&A-driven guide raise, while the ITS margin recovery stays back-half-weighted. The out-period math (H2 still carrying the organic + margin inflection) keeps estimates from meaningfully rising, so the initial relief pop fades as investors re-scrutinize the 'show-me' 2H bridge. LOW