ITW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ITW Report Q2 GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$2.83 vs. cons $2.80 MEDIUM
ITW Report Q2 Organic revenue growth IN-LINE pred ~2.3% vs. cons ~2.0% LOW
ITW Report Q2 Operating margin IN-LINE pred ~26.7% vs. cons ~26.6% MEDIUM
ITW Guide FY26 GAAP EPS guide (midpoint) BETTER guide ~$11.35-11.55 mid ~$11.45 vs. cons ~$11.38 (FY26) MEDIUM
ITW Guide FY26 organic growth range UNCHANGED guide ~1-3% (high end) vs. cons ~2.2% (FY26) MEDIUM
ITW Guide FY26 operating margin range UNCHANGED guide ~26.5-27.5% mid ~27.0% vs. cons ~27.0% (FY26) MEDIUM
ITW Guide Q3 revenue implied (2H cadence) UNKNOWN pred ~$4.15B vs. cons ~$4.16B (Q3 2026) LOW
ITW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% MEDIUM
ITW Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FADE) Clean beat likely but tax/FX-flavored with the 1-3% organic range held rather than an organic-driven upgrade; at ~25x and record highs after a ~+16% run since early June, the bar is high and this mirrors the Q1 sell-the-news fade. Out-period EPS revisions tick up only modestly (tax/FX), insufficient to justify further re-rating, so residual drifts lower over the week. LOW