ITW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ITW Report Q2 2026 GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$2.85 vs. cons $2.80 MEDIUM
ITW Report Q2 2026 Revenue BEAT pred ~$4.24B vs. cons $4.18B MEDIUM
ITW Report Q2 2026 Operating Margin IN-LINE pred ~26.7% vs. cons 26.7% MEDIUM
ITW Guide GAAP EPS Guidance BETTER guide ~$11.40 midpoint vs. cons $11.37 (FY2026) MEDIUM
ITW Guide Organic Revenue Growth Guidance LOWER guide ~2.0% midpoint vs. cons 2.1% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ITW Guide Operating Margin Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~27.0% midpoint vs. cons 27.0% (FY2026) HIGH
ITW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.4% LOW
ITW Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.6% (FADE) The predicted FY2026 EPS guide midpoint of ~$11.40 vs. consensus $11.37 leaves implied H2 EPS of only ~$5.89 after predicted H1 EPS of ~$5.51, versus H2 consensus of roughly $5.91. Limited out-period estimate upside should cause an initial positive reaction to fade. MEDIUM