ITW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ITW Report GAAP diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.88 vs. cons $2.83 MEDIUM
ITW Report Organic revenue growth BEAT pred ~2.5% vs. cons 1.9% MEDIUM
ITW Report Operating margin IN-LINE pred ~26.8% vs. cons 26.7% MEDIUM
ITW Guide FY2026 GAAP EPS guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$11.30 vs. cons $11.35 (FY2026) MEDIUM
ITW Guide FY2026 organic-growth guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~2.0% vs. cons 2.2% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ITW Guide FY2026 operating-margin guidance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~27.0% vs. cons 27.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ITW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
ITW Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.5% (FADE) A ~$2.88 versus $2.83 quarterly EPS beat and ~2.5% versus 1.9% organic-growth beat should support an initial ~1.5% residual move, but retaining the ~$11.30 FY2026 EPS midpoint versus ~$11.35 consensus leaves implied second-half EPS at roughly ~$5.76 versus ~$5.87, creating modest out-period revision risk and a fade to about -0.5% by day five. MEDIUM