JCI Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
JCI Report Adjusted EPS (fiscal Q3 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.35 vs. cons $1.33 MEDIUM
JCI Report Organic sales growth (fiscal Q3 2026) BEAT pred ~6.4% vs. cons 6.0% MEDIUM
JCI Report Organic orders growth (fiscal Q3 2026) BEAT pred ~18% vs. cons 15% LOW
JCI Guide Adjusted EPS BETTER guide ~$4.95 vs. cons $4.90 (fiscal 2026) MEDIUM
JCI Guide Organic sales growth BETTER guide ~6.5% vs. cons 6.0% (fiscal 2026) MEDIUM
JCI Guide Implied adjusted EPS BETTER guide ~$1.52 vs. cons $1.49 (fiscal Q4 2026) MEDIUM
JCI Guide Adjusted free-cash-flow conversion UNCHANGED guide ~100% vs. cons 100% (fiscal 2026) HIGH
JCI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.2% MEDIUM
JCI Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.4% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) The ~$4.95 fiscal-2026 guide combined with predicted Q3 EPS of ~$1.35 implies roughly $1.52 of Q4 EPS versus consensus near $1.49, supporting modest upward revisions; continued double-digit orders should also lift fiscal-2027 estimates, although the elevated valuation limits the magnitude. MEDIUM