JCI Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
JCI Report Adj. EPS (Q3 FY2026) BEAT pred ~$1.34 vs. cons $1.301 HIGH
JCI Report EBITA Margin (Q3 FY2026) BEAT pred ~19.0-19.1% vs. cons 18.77% MEDIUM
JCI Report Orders Organic Growth % (Q3 FY2026) BEAT pred ~20-25% vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
JCI Guide Adj. EPS (FY2026) BETTER guide ~$4.95-5.00 vs. cons $4.903 MEDIUM
JCI Guide Adj. EPS (Q4 FY2026 implied) LOWER guide ~$1.45-1.48 vs. cons ~$1.52 MEDIUM
JCI Guide Orders Commentary (qualitative) BETTER sustained >20% organic, data center pipeline healthy MEDIUM
JCI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.0% MEDIUM
JCI Return 5-day cumulative residual +6.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — estimate revisions flow through as sell-side updates FY model; modest drift as implicit Q4 cut partially offsets FY raise MEDIUM