JCI Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker	Report or Guide	KPI	Prediction	Answer	Confidence
JCI	Report	Adjusted EPS	BEAT	pred ~$1.33 vs. cons $1.301	MEDIUM
JCI	Report	Operating sales	BEAT	pred ~$6.52B vs. cons $6.451B	MEDIUM
JCI	Report	Operating EBITA margin	IN-LINE	pred ~18.9% vs. cons 18.77%	MEDIUM
JCI	Guide	FY2026 adjusted EPS	UNCHANGED	guide ~$4.95 vs. cons $4.903	MEDIUM
JCI	Guide	FY2026 Q4 adjusted EPS	UNCHANGED	guide ~$1.54 vs. cons $1.525	MEDIUM
JCI	Guide	FY2026 organic growth	BETTER	guide ~7% vs. cons UNVERIFIED	LOW
JCI	Guide	Orders / backlog conversion	BETTER	guide: accelerating conversion; orders above algorithm vs. cons UNVERIFIED	LOW
JCI	Return	Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500)	+2.5%	—	MEDIUM
JCI	Return	5-day cumulative residual	+4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH)	FOLLOW-THROUGH — raise supports revisions	MEDIUM